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Hurricane Ian

submitted by usedoilanalysis to Fluiddynamics 2.6 yearsSep 26, 2022 08:13:07 ago (+5/-0)     (Fluiddynamics)

Looks like it's just going to park itself in the gulf of Mexico near Tampa, until it dissipates. The eye isn't going to make landfall until Friday of this week. All the Tampa people beware of flooding more than strong winds.


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[ - ] deleted 2 points 2.6 yearsSep 26, 2022 12:37:38 ago (+2/-0)

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[ - ] usedoilanalysis [op] 0 points 2.6 yearsSep 26, 2022 13:21:52 ago (+0/-0)

Yeah right, that rocket isn't flying into the ocean until December at this rate.

[ - ] cyclops1771 0 points 2.6 yearsSep 26, 2022 10:34:25 ago (+0/-0)

This aint fun. I lived in harris County, Texas during Hurricane Harvey, when it did this and just dumped rain on the Houston area, on AVERAGE, 33" of rain over the entire county.

Where I lived topped 45" over the two day period of rain while Harvey parked in the Gulf.

Just imagine the hard, hard rain of an afternoon squall, but it lasts for 36 straight hours.

What year was it when Orlando got hit with 4 hurricanes in succession? 2007? Imnagine that, but in tampa, and in just 2 days.

[ - ] deleted 0 points 2.6 yearsSep 26, 2022 10:52:12 ago (+0/-0)

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[ - ] cyclops1771 0 points 2.6 yearsSep 26, 2022 12:59:56 ago (+0/-0)

We ArE aLl GoInG tO DiE!

[ - ] deleted 0 points 2.6 yearsSep 26, 2022 13:42:02 ago (+0/-0)

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[ - ] Crackinjokes 0 points 2.6 yearsSep 26, 2022 08:37:27 ago (+0/-0)

[ - ] usedoilanalysis [op] 0 points 2.6 yearsSep 26, 2022 09:02:27 ago (+0/-0)

Learn to read a forecast map before you make off the cuff statements. The eye itself will not make landfall, hurricane force winds only extend around 35 miles from the eye wall for the largest of hurricanes. Therefore as long as the eyewall doesn't touch land, there is no hurricane.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/102341.shtml?tswind120#contents

As you can see, the probability of TROPICAL STORM strength winds only extends to the coastal areas, not hurricane. My point stands, Tampa bay area has to worry about flooding and not much else.

[ - ] deleted 1 point 2.6 yearsSep 26, 2022 12:39:21 ago (+1/-0)

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[ - ] usedoilanalysis [op] 0 points 2.6 yearsSep 26, 2022 13:14:52 ago (+0/-0)

Forecasting models have improved drastically in the last 10, hell just the last 5 years has seen big improvements.

[ - ] PeckerwoodPerry 0 points 2.6 yearsSep 26, 2022 14:37:24 ago (+0/-0)

The problem is, they're fucking lying to you. I've lived in Florida most of my life. One thing I know for sure is that weather forecasting is part of the media and they make their daily bread from lying to people, wether they know it or not.

[ - ] usedoilanalysis [op] 0 points 2.6 yearsSep 26, 2022 14:43:21 ago (+0/-0)

I'm not lying though. Maybe the media is trying to scare you, I'm simply giving my forecast based on my experience.

[ - ] usedoilanalysis [op] 0 points 2.6 yearsSep 26, 2022 14:43:28 ago (+0/-0)

I'm not lying though. Maybe the media is trying to scare you, I'm simply giving my forecast based on my experience.

[ - ] deleted 0 points 2.6 yearsSep 26, 2022 14:43:37 ago (+0/-0)

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[ - ] Her0n 0 points 2.6 yearsSep 26, 2022 08:30:17 ago (+0/-0)

I only spent two years living in ponte vedra beach, which alcohol is appropriate for flooding? Is it hard liquor or beer?

[ - ] PeckerwoodPerry 1 point 2.6 yearsSep 26, 2022 14:38:33 ago (+1/-0)

Both. Beer while you can keep it cold, hard liquor for when the power goes out.

[ - ] usedoilanalysis [op] 0 points 2.6 yearsSep 26, 2022 08:34:21 ago (+0/-0)

Considering oil and water don't mix and oil is less dense, I'd go with beer, it'll make you fatter, more floaty, lower bone density.

[ - ] Her0n 1 point 2.6 yearsSep 26, 2022 09:17:10 ago (+1/-0)

I hate beer, but I wouldn't want to drown.

Hurricanes haven't been a problem for me since Matthew anyway. Just be safe my beloved gator huggers.

[ - ] usedoilanalysis [op] 0 points 2.6 yearsSep 26, 2022 09:21:58 ago (+0/-0)

If there's a food shortage we can always live off lizard meat.

[ - ] Her0n 1 point 2.6 yearsSep 26, 2022 09:32:11 ago (+1/-0)

I'm not a fan of it, but hunger is the best spice.

[ - ] PeckerwoodPerry 0 points 2.6 yearsSep 26, 2022 14:39:16 ago (+0/-0)

Also, do much golfing? Ponte Vedra is beautiful.

[ - ] Her0n 0 points 2.6 yearsSep 26, 2022 15:23:43 ago (+0/-0)

Not a golfer, but I did enjoy walking 5 minutes to go surfing. Got a ton of night surfing in during that time too!