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Swej_Ehtsag 7 points 3 days ago

It won't take 5 years, we are probably less than 2 years away from most (not just some) jobs being eliminated. Most people aren't even aware that hundreds of thousands of jobs have already been eliminated by AI, entire industries are gone forever and will never come back. The only question left is will something significant change in how our society works before my job is gone. What will be the last few jobs remaining, hard to say at this point.

The best explanation that helped me understand AI was a guy using chess as an example. A human could at most play chess 16 hours a day, 7 days a week. AI can play chess 24/7/365 and play millions of games a day. Now apply that logic to everything.

A doctor can at most see maybe 30 or 40 people a day. If they work 7 days a week, that's 240 patients a week. Regardless of how many human doctors work these schedules, they would still only have the ability to learn from their own experiences. If there were AI doctors placed in every town, that AI doctor would work 24/7 and each AI doctor could be connected to all the other AI doctors. Its ability to diagnose and treat patients would excel at rates beyond our comprehension. The AI doctor would see trends of seasonal colds in real time.

Now imagine this AI doctor costs $20 to see and requires no insurance. It can perform surgery, it's a dietitian, pharmacist, dentist, physical therapist, podiatrist, mental health specialist, can deliver babies with ease, speaks every language fluently, and never makes a misdiagnosis. Who the fuck would roll the dice with seeing a regular doctor, most of who currently use computers to type in your symptoms so the computer can spit back out a diagnosis.

Not only will all those medical professions be quickly wiped out, but medical insurance, medical lawyers, and the hundreds of support roles. 22 million healthcare jobs in the United States, where will 22 million people find new jobs?

What about all the schools and people who teach healthcare? What about all the government agencies that oversee healthcare or healthcare programs like Medicare or Medicaid?

Roughly 5 million people are employed in the Pharmaceutical industry. When the AI doctor can literally create the perfect drug for their patient in real-time, that industry has no purpose.

I guess 30 million people can go work in Amazon factories after this, except they are working towards full AI automation and will most likely employ zero people in the future. It doesn't matter how great you are at managing a warehouse, AI can learn from managing hundreds of warehouses simultaneously, something no human has the ability to do. It will become better at managing warehouses than any human that has ever existed and it will continue to learn 24/7/365.

Millions of artists and industries associated with artists have already been wiped out with literally no safety nets whatsoever. All of those people are simply fucked with no recourse and nobody is talking about it. Will they start talking about it when you lose your job?