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As the stretch run begins in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, overseas betting markets have put former president Donald Trump in a position he's never enjoyed after Labor Day: Ahead

submitted by Joe_McCarthy to OccidentalEnclave 9 monthsSep 4, 2024 16:09:29 ago (+0/-1)     (OccidentalEnclave)



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[ - ] Joe_McCarthy [op] 0 points 9 monthsSep 4, 2024 16:16:05 ago (+0/-0)

RCP polling average as of September 3rd: Harris 48.1 Trump 46.2

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris

1.9%. Trump won the Electoral College in 2016 despite losing by 2.1% to Hildebeast. It was 48.2% to 46.1%.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_United_States_presidential_election

This is going to vary by polling though.

In other words this race is razor tight with him running 51-52% in the betting markets with the mighty Kamala in the 47% range.

He lost by 4.5% to Biden.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election

[ - ] Joe_McCarthy [op] 0 points 9 monthsSep 4, 2024 16:11:02 ago (+0/-0)

Perhaps bettors see Harris' slim lead nationally, but they are more focused on reports like those from the Silver Bulletin where Nate Silver estimates that Trump has a 56% chance of winning the Electoral College vote.