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It's getting americans to believe they can win, enough to try, against 24/7 multibillion dollar federal propaganda, that is the fly in the ointment.

I'd put the radicalization rate (or potential) of the u.s. military at somewhere between 5-10% at the limit, but it'd still require an initiating campaign, both in propaganda and live events, to push them to that point. See the lack of pushback over the ideological purity test that was the covid 19 injections.

Or brass, or lead.

But where is anyone going to get that brass or lead? Enough to fight a war where the government spends a quarter trillion equivalent of brass and lead?

The VC had foreign backing from multiple nations.

Also, the quarter trillion is what you can expect the u.s. to spend fighting americans.

For example, I estimate it would take one veteran and 10-15 irregulars trained by them, to have a 50% shot of taking down a u.s. tank. The other half of that scenario is they're all captured and/or killed.

If you assumed national guard out on every street in a every american city with a population greater than 100k people, and each of the units out, assuming only one was deployed, had at least a tank (with a compliment of soldiers), you'd need 3400-5k guerillas.

Anything less than a multi-region all-in-the-same-time-window campaign means federal and state forces just bum rush you, redirecting boots on the ground as needed in a sort of mop up operation, concentrating their forces in tit-for-tat gridsearch attacks that cut you up and destroy you piece-meal.

If the radicalization rate (sufficient for 'extremism', where 'extremist' is defined as someone ready and willing to go to war) is a conservative 0.5% of the population, and you expect to recruit 10% of them successfully before your network and cells begin to be ferreted out and experience counter-intelligence pushes, then for any given operation zone, you'd have a pool of at most 500 fighters per city of 100k or greater.

And achieving those numbers would require news and propaganda fronts, including some which are "legit" news/propaganda fronts doing things "by the books" to even reach that number.

Conservatively, an organized push for a war like that, given the scrappy and underfunded logistics of any sort of civil or guerilla war movement, you might get 10% of that number. 50 fighters per city.

Realistically you'd at best match federal and state forces in hit-in-run type engagements, and quickly lose to attrition. The federal officials would lose half or more to attrition once heads start popping on officials and soldiers out taking a smoke or a piss, but that still puts you at a 1. equipment, 2. training, 3. funding, 4. logistics, 5. intelligence disadvantage and you'd lose because of it.

So right off the bat, you’re retarded and wrong. It just gets worse from there. This talk of ‘conscripts’ and pay is retarded. The vast majority will be volunteers. Training, if necessary, can be done at zero expense. Your math is super retarded. I want to see a breakdown of your calculation. No one but niggers would even be tempted by the paltry pay you’re offering in your scenario. You are not in reality and also seriously fucking dumb.

"no one but niggers would be tempted by you're paltry pay", "they would all be volunteers."

Choose.

An army marches on its stomach.

The trick is in convincing them of this. And I've seen very few people capable of convincing others of this.
Maybe if someone like you TK had a multimillion dollar propaganda front that you headed and operated, there would be someone with a shot of convincing the american public of what you speak of, but you don't, and therefore can't, and theres no one else that does either.

The great thing about that too is if a sufficient percentage (I estimate the lowerbound is about 1%) go off-grid, it becomes enough of a threat to the u.s. government that they start implementing policies to either force them back 'on grid', or directly make examples out of them.

And presto-chango, that off-grid element becomes the support network and recruit pool of guerilla forces against the regime.