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If thats true, we should be fully in quadrant 2 by summer 2024, and getting ready to either see the precursor/feeler narratives for quadrant 1, or by then have already seen them.

Likely by october 2024, the regime will have decided, and we'll see indicators of that, about what quadrant zero primary crisis will look like.

I'm thinking biden will die, or be indicated by his own, or step down, trump won't be elected (they need the social chaos but they also need to maintain control), and we'll get new riots, quelled by some sort of external war and financial crisis, combine with an attempt of some sort of lockdown, be it pandemic, financial, economic depression, gas rationing, or simply crime-wave related.

The left always persues power, while the right always persues money. The left will persue social and economic instability to maintain short and midterm power (eat their own, make policies that nevertheless lead to backlash, etc).

I think the rumors that "kamala is unelectable" and she was "put in office so the democrats wouldn't toss biden" were FUD spread by the regime itself. I never saw opposition to this (weirdly widespread) assumption, and never saw any serious analysis done to determine if it held water.

I think they intend to put her in the presidency, which is why they're running nikki haley, she's basically the uniparty's rump version of hillary clinton, because they don't want to run a male candidate against kamala harris (gives the male a major advantage), and running a women against a women divides public support for upstarts like peter turchin's 'counter-elites' i.e. trump and other rogue elements (regardless of if you think they're on our side or not).

The elections aren't real of course, but exist mostly to manufacture legitimacy on the world stage.

The way neoliberal globalist politics works is appearance and optics. 1. get away with as much corruption as possible, 2. accuse opponents and foreign nations of 'antidemocratic' policies, 3. this becomes pretext to undermine and loot them using color change operations and intelligence agencies and proxy warfare. 4. this sets a bad precedent, a deal with the devil, because this then becomes the entire practice for mainline competitors on the world stage, 5. avoid in turn being labelled "antidemocratic" at all costs, because it gives pretext justifications for others to commit step three against you.

This is that. Maintain elections, however illegitimate, while controlling outcomes.

We're right on schedule for the next series of crises.