1-in-3 chance normalized to past prediction accuracy. Long tail risk out to 21 days from now.
Factors include intensification of armenian war zone, concurrent war drills by adversarial nations, recent u.s. readiness changes, insider information about preparations for lowering DEFCON 3 (and 2 in some theaters), attacks on russian nuclear triad, previous narratives out of london wrt to uranium smuggling, israel redlining of iranian enrichment and followup attacks, discontinuation of nuclear treaties, war in syria, large attacks on nato comms arguably by russia (unlikely). Continual and growing abandonment of the petrodollar system. Escalatory situational planning esp. u.s. war gaming the loss of power projection over the failing dollar, israeli war scenarios involving the loss of military support from the u.s., and chinese scenarios involving limited windows to act on taiwan.
Potential targets are taiwan, CONUS (with the inclusion of hawaii), and western europe, with an emphasis on five-eyes nations excluding new zealand and australia.
[ - ] Sector7 1 point 1 yearApr 11, 2023 20:02:42 ago (+1/-0)
I'm about 5 miles from the fault on this section of the ring. Earthquakes are cool. (assuming you don't own an unreinforced brick building) We had a 4+ about a week ago, with a nice jolt and about 5 second rattle. No damage. There weren't many unreinforced brick buildings (nor chimneys) left after our 7.1 a while back. Solidly built structures were and are fine.
Any bunkers or even just houses built by the super rich are unlikely to suffer more than cosmetic damage, at least if they listen to their architect.
I think one of the NZ advantages is that it would theoretically not be a direct nuke target once things kick off.
[ + ] VicariousJambi
[ - ] VicariousJambi 7 points 1 yearApr 11, 2023 15:42:56 ago (+7/-0)
edit: i archived this too for when it doesnt happen
https://archive.is/NjC5i
[ + ] prototype
[ - ] prototype [op] -1 points 1 yearApr 11, 2023 16:17:39 ago (+1/-2)
upvoted for the lulz.
[ + ] Portmanure
[ - ] Portmanure 3 points 1 yearApr 11, 2023 15:48:30 ago (+3/-0)
[ + ] deleted
[ - ] deleted 2 points 1 yearApr 11, 2023 16:15:59 ago (+2/-0)
[ + ] dulcima
[ - ] dulcima 1 point 1 yearApr 11, 2023 18:20:15 ago (+1/-0)
The entire place is sitting on a major fault line. It forms part of the Ring of Fire. Earthquakes and volcanoes. It is geologically unstable.
And these rich fuckers have their bunkers there that will entomb them when a major quake hits?
Utterly ridiculous.
[ + ] Sector7
[ - ] Sector7 1 point 1 yearApr 11, 2023 20:02:42 ago (+1/-0)
Any bunkers or even just houses built by the super rich are unlikely to suffer more than cosmetic damage, at least if they listen to their architect.
I think one of the NZ advantages is that it would theoretically not be a direct nuke target once things kick off.
https://www.windy.com/-Show---add-more-layers/overlays?-35.934,165.861,5
Right now the prevailing winds from Sydney are blowing right over the north island, so China hitting Sydney could still give them a good dusting.
[ + ] dulcima
[ - ] dulcima 0 points 1 yearApr 11, 2023 20:12:00 ago (+0/-0)
I still believe the outback would be a better hidey hole than NZ, geologically speaking. Just stay far away from Pine Gap.
[ + ] HeavyBrain
[ - ] HeavyBrain 4 points 1 yearApr 11, 2023 15:50:22 ago (+4/-0)
Jews setting themselfes back by killing all the schwartze they imported.
[ + ] Zyklonbeekeeper
[ - ] Zyklonbeekeeper 1 point 1 yearApr 11, 2023 15:59:03 ago (+1/-0)
[ + ] Tallest_Skil
[ - ] Tallest_Skil 0 points 1 yearApr 11, 2023 16:12:35 ago (+2/-2)
[ + ] prototype
[ - ] prototype [op] 2 points 1 yearApr 11, 2023 16:15:34 ago (+4/-2)
[ + ] Tallest_Skil
[ - ] Tallest_Skil 1 point 1 yearApr 11, 2023 20:27:07 ago (+1/-0)
Will you commit suicide when you’re wrong? If not, why should you be allowed to keep spamming proven falsehoods?
[ + ] prototype
[ - ] prototype [op] 0 points 1 yearApr 11, 2023 22:45:32 ago (+0/-0)
Hasn't been proven wrong yet, so maybe you should take your meds you schizophrenic kike.
[ + ] Tallest_Skil
[ - ] Tallest_Skil 0 points 1 yearApr 12, 2023 01:04:11 ago (+0/-0)
Learn how to read English.
[ + ] prototype
[ - ] prototype [op] 0 points 1 yearApr 12, 2023 20:27:45 ago (+0/-0)
Learn how to breathe normally instead of from your mouth.
[ + ] Tallest_Skil
[ - ] Tallest_Skil 0 points 1 yearApr 13, 2023 10:30:20 ago (+0/-0)
[ + ] prototype
[ - ] prototype [op] 0 points 1 yearApr 17, 2023 23:28:08 ago (+0/-0)
Next time you don't want your war plans posted how about you pay me bitch?
[ + ] Tallest_Skil
[ - ] Tallest_Skil 0 points 1 yearApr 19, 2023 11:33:57 ago (+0/-0)
[ + ] prototype
[ - ] prototype [op] 0 points 1 yearApr 20, 2023 02:45:27 ago (+0/-0)
Nope. Stay mad though kek.
[ + ] AugustineOfHippo2
[ - ] AugustineOfHippo2 5 points 1 yearApr 11, 2023 16:28:01 ago (+5/-0)
[ + ] Jerd34
[ - ] Jerd34 1 point 1 yearApr 11, 2023 17:26:05 ago (+1/-0)
[ + ]deleted
[ - ] deleted 2 points 1 yearApr 11, 2023 18:25:33 ago (+2/-0)
[ + ] beece
[ - ] beece 1 point 1 yearApr 11, 2023 19:46:38 ago (+1/-0)
[ + ] paul_neri
[ - ] paul_neri 1 point 1 yearApr 11, 2023 19:55:02 ago (+1/-0)
[ + ] paul_neri
[ - ] paul_neri 0 points 1 yearApr 11, 2023 19:56:39 ago (+0/-0)
[ + ] Tallest_Skil
[ - ] Tallest_Skil 0 points 1 yearApr 12, 2023 14:39:13 ago (+0/-0)
[ + ] prototype
[ - ] prototype [op] 0 points 1 yearApr 12, 2023 20:26:57 ago (+0/-0)
Nope, I don't follow Q, but owing to the fact you seem to see it everywhere, it tells me you do follow Q.
[ + ] Tallest_Skil
[ - ] Tallest_Skil 0 points 1 yearApr 13, 2023 10:29:45 ago (+0/-0)
[ + ] prototype
[ - ] prototype [op] 0 points 1 yearApr 13, 2023 23:33:19 ago (+0/-0)
Nope.
Eat shit and die Qultist.
[ + ] mikenigger
[ - ] mikenigger 0 points 1 yearApr 12, 2023 15:29:52 ago (+0/-0)