×
Login Register an account
Top Submissions Explore Upgoat Search Random Subverse Random Post Colorize! Site Rules
8

Recent Backtracking of China on Lockdowns changes the dynamic signficantly. New predictions.

submitted by prototype to politics 1.4 yearsDec 8, 2022 16:26:28 ago (+8/-0)     (politics)

I wrote in an earlier post the following predictions:

"""
Whether they will be due to a pandemic or some other disaster, I cannot say.
But in order to suppress inflation (and save the banks) multiple nations will have to lock people down.

It also means the war in ukraine will likely wind-down and the potential war over taiwan won't happen. War production raises demand. Higher demand means higher prices, means price hikes in everything.

If the u.s. can't afford it, it must mean no one is interested in our debt anymore. Only way to fix that is either repatriate gold/silver (might be the reason for them pushing stacking through the 'alt media' since 2008). That or destroy the banks. Or both.
I don't think we're getting a digital currency yet, but the introduction of the next crisis will be used as the pretext for it:
its how you'll get your gas/food rations, and how they track your vaccination status.
You won't be able to buy gas without it (though vaccination will still be optional, if not strongly coerced.)

Food, gas, and electricity will be the big gotchas for rationing. Compliance with vaccination, will yield "rewards" in the form of larger rations. This will be struck down by courts if theres too much backlash, and then re-instituted by other courts when things simmer down, and then struck down again if people get upset, ad infinitum. The courts job is to whipsaw policy in the right tempo, at a rate that legislative and executive action can't.

Likewise I expect using your "full ration" will only be possible if you go indoors, which will require masks. Everyone else gets a half ration or something if they pay at the pump. Or maybe the majority of checkout lanes are mask/vax only, so you wait much longer.

Whatever the policies will be, expect them to squeeze you in every which way.

They won't likely put a direct limit on how far you are allowed to drive each day, except in places like the west coast and parts of the east (though toll roads may raise fees significantly).

Instead they'll just limit your gas.
""

However, in light of china's recent backtracking on lockdowns, some assumptions have changed, and that has altered my predictions significantly.

Based on china deciding not to lock down, we can say:
They have sufficient control in the u.s. now and the u.s. is on economic decline.
China locking down would not pursue taiwan, as the lockdown affects war production.
Conversely, deciding not to lockdown indicates china expects issues with us dollar inflation
(affecting the value of its holdings) and likewise impacting global trade. That means unemployment.
That means instability within china.

From this we can draw inflation likely won't be suppressed, which means globalist nations know hyperinflation is coming. Others predicting that it turns out, are correct: you can't unwind a ponzi.
This means powell and the fed WONT end up pivoting, even if they at first slow down.
That tells me either they will briefly slow down to look like a pivot (and then ramp up again
"due to inflation") or they won't slow down at all but end up keeping the same pace.
if the effect in any case, regardless of their decision, is to raise inflation, then we can know,
based on what I've wrote, that this is the intent. Which means the source of inflation is
the very thing supposedly intended to fight it. This also represents a conflict between u.s.
geopolitical interests (maintaining the supremacy of the u.s. dollar), enemies who have co-opted
our leaders wanting to crash america, those same enemies wanting to maintain stability long
enough to dump their dollar holdings. This tells me we are in fact co-opted by foreign nations.
It also tells me those nations have it out for us, and the dollar-dump is coming.
Which means globalism is in fact failing and rumors of a "decoupling" are REAL.

From all of this we can say, to preserve globalist shadow cash flows and influence brokering
(vis-a-vis standard playbook 'end of empire' type stuff), I would be WRONG about my initial
take on the war in ukraine ending. Rather it would have to continue and escalate.
I posted predictions as such recently, but didn't have this current chain of reasoning to back it
up--at least not until china's recent actions.

The u.s. will attempt to ramp up war production but hit bottlenecks and struggle significantly.
This may even be used as a bargaining chip by china, to "keep the u.s. out of taiwan" if or
when china makes any geopolitical, or war moves.

This suggests demand will be lower for now, even though inflation is high and going higher.
Which better aligns the model with existing conditions of stagflation, not depression.
We're not in the collapse period at the tail end of the roaring 20s.
We're in the same sort of stagflation that characterized the 1970s leading into the vietnam war.
To confirm this, we can look at the cost of gas at its peak in the 70s and the contrast of purchasing
power then vs today.
One dollar in 1974 is nominally equivalent to $6.04 today.

In 1974 gas was $0.59 cents, or roughly $3.56 a gallon today. Until recently we experienced that
very price range, and even higher. Economically, excluding debt, we are exactly where we were in the 1970s.
It would not, in this light, be unreasonable to assume
1. some sort of war in the middle east caused by instability
2. oil embargoes causing oil shocks in the u.s.-- as we are already seeing in europe.
3. a new major war between china, the u.s. and russia, or baring that, a direct war between the u.s. and russia.
All sides were involved in vietnam, and what ukraine looks like is a repeat of that dynamic and the conditions
that lead to it.

It also likely means new large scale immigration pushes will succeed in the u.s. for a variety of reasons, not
least of which is the cost of labor. That and political infighting requiring new support bases, not unlike the
1965 immigration act. This jibs with my current predictions that amnesty will pass. Either before, or even
after the new congress gets into office.

All of this slow-walking also indicates, contrary to previous predictions, there is still heavy foreign interest
in u.s. debt-denominated fiat. The cleanest dirty shirt theory appears to be true. Maybe not as true as the u.s.
wants it to be, but sufficient to drive a strong bifurcation in world monetary support. We'll see a much stronger
divide between BRICs+ and USD. Globalism isn't collapsing therefore, but rather breaking up, retreating, and regrouping.
Others still have large portfolios and reserves dominated in dollars, so there is desire to maintain that while the transition is complete. The failure of the USD in this light can then be seen as a controlled demolition, which makes
sense in light of 'great reset' talks.
Two controlled opposition spheres of influence begin to form from this picture, not unlike the soviet eurasian sphere and the west during the coldwar.

If this is true, much more control will be needed to complete the transition. Both over proxy states, and over citizens--if stability of existing regimes is to be maintained. The predictions that central bank crypto would fail or wouldn't be pursued until a new crisis, would therefore appear to be premature. Rather we see the crisis, both started early by the banks (so as to avoid an organic collapse) and the solution for it to appear before the crisis is fully apparent to even the everyday citizen.

The transition when the crisis is in full swing, will therefore appear natural, and on the one hand the economic pressure caused by the 'collapse' will push citizens into digitized currency, and on the otherhand it will seem to those adopting the measure, to be voluntary and have arrived "just in time."

I still predict it will be used for gas/food rations and things like healthcare tracking (vaccination status), though these may come after, or before, or be incrementally introduced. Likewise 'rations' may be implemented in a variety of ways, from soft-control as is the obama and cass sunstein playbook (the "nudge") or specific "temporary emergency" limits or restrictions.

There is the possibility of a strong centralization in government, of the functions banks used to play. And a dismantling or proper absorption (here to be called "oversight" and "heavy new regulation") of the banking industry in many nations, including the u.s.
It would explain the dysfunction and infighting over the last 20 years in the u.s: a fight between the banks/financial sector and centralized government.

If this is true, then gold and silver is irrelevant and a distraction, and other assets will become much more volatile, and significant due to an environment of policy whiplash over the next 2-4 years.

Alternatively, banks and financial institutions will seek to acquire as much as possible, forcing fed puts on the PM market to artificially lower prices. These banks will essentially be seeking the most liquid possible assets to take with them as they close up shop and 'abandon ship' to foreign countries and foreign currencies. As a consequence I would expect strong churn and volatility in PMs if this scenario appears to be unfolding. Naturally, this is not financial advice.

I expect a mixture of approaches in terms of control and lockdown. For example, limiting driving. I expect many places to simply have prices that vastly drive down demand as people choose to stay home. Other places will use explicit rationing such as california and most of the west coast. Masks will make a return in order to drive division in the public, while in other places vaccination will become a big issue again.

Finally, on the war front, if escalation is correct, then it makes sense the u.s. bombed russian nuclear bombers. The u.s. will attempt to double-down as a tactic to explicitly saber-rattle russia. Which tells me the u.s. is still underestimating russia, and believes russia's redlines are bluffs. We can therefore expect further attacks on russia's nuclear preparedness (exactly something you do before heading into a major war with a nuclear power) and large scale readiness to push this redline. Meanwhile the provision of u.s. tanks to poland, unlike outdated missiles provided to ukraine (a glorified cleaning of our warehouses to leverage contractors as control over the pentagon), appears to be a backstop against russia.

Which means the u.s. is likely preparing an even larger provocation.

If we're "running out" of weapons to send ukraine, then it is not unlikely to suggest we are using this as a cover to convert to a wartime economy. This policy is schizophrenic, because it is clear some elements of the u.s. are uncertain about winning a war against russia, while others are suicidal at best. Speaks to the u.s. government not being entirely under u.s. control.

Likewise if these actions are designed to destroy, make vulnerable, deplete, and push russia into the arms of china, then we can safely assume new and greater provocations against russia. Especially if significant elements of the u.s. government and war policy are being run by the CCP.

This confirms the ccp will make a move on taiwan, sooner, rather than later.
Likely within 1-2 years, but possibly even sooner.
The green scam being foisted onto u.s. contractors goes beyond mere money laundering to the uniparty, into the territory of explicit threat to u.s. operational preparedness and national security. We can only assume it is motivated and directed by foreign enemies preparing to make direct moves that would otherwise require a response from the u.s. military under normal circumstances.

Thats all for now.



14 comments block


[ - ] PhantomXLII 3 points 1.4 yearsDec 8, 2022 18:54:42 ago (+3/-0)

So basically it's all over and suicide is the best way out. Okay. You could've just said that.

[ - ] prototype [op] 2 points 1.4 yearsDec 8, 2022 19:36:05 ago (+2/-0)*

"So basically it's all over"

The federal government is weakening.

As a system weakens it has to either balkanize or ratchet-up the control.

Nevertheless the system is weakening. Cracks in the dam.

It means americans and westerners have a chance for once, against the federal junta and DC/quantico occupation government.

This is just the beginning. it means to have hope, but also be prepared. You're gonna see a lot of crazy shit unfold between american citizens and their so-called government in the coming years, and even months. Thats what I'm predicting.

Have hope, and take heart brother.

Jesus christ is king of kings.

And hes coming with a big god damn sword, to make the sons of bitches on wallstreet, in DC, in the virginia spy agencies, to beg for mercy. Jesus is coming, in the form of the american people.

jesus is coming and he's fucking angry.

[ - ] PhantomXLII 0 points 1.4 yearsDec 8, 2022 20:26:09 ago (+0/-0)

Uh, guy, you're gonna starve before the billionaires. The system collapses, it falls on US.

[ - ] prototype [op] 1 point 1.4 yearsDec 9, 2022 04:59:34 ago (+1/-0)*

"Uh, guy, you're gonna starve before the billionaires. The system collapses, it falls on US."

The system collapses, the billionaires are stuck with hired mercenaries. Right now, if populists or nationalists or everyday americans went after them, they face the cops, then more cops who come because of the first cops, then MORE, in, then swat, then MORE swat, then the national guard, then federal agencies, then the army and manhunters--in an ever widening net of bullshit battles they'd have to fight.

In an utter collapse, its just the hired guns you have to fight.

What do you think accelerationism is about?

it's about bankrupting the existing security forces, peacefully and lawfully, so its easier for the public to put the heads of billionaires on spikes if they so choose.

Because once the laws gone, all they have left is their rapidly-dwindling-in-value gold and money.

And thats assuming the hired guns don't turn on the former, bankers, politicians, and oligarchs.

All that has to be done is accelerate the collapse, and then pop your popcorn and watch from a good safe distance as it all burns.

The fact that some, or even most of us will starve, or die by other means, is immaterial. The essential goodness, and rightness of what must be done elides and supervenes over any consequence to those dedicated to making it happen.

It will happen because it must happen, regardless of the personal costs to anyone.

The bankrupting and the collapse of order in the u.s. are essential to the very preservation of any meaningful sense of people, culture, future potential for law and order, and the territorial integrity of america itself.

America can only be saved by collapsing the very government, bureaucracy, secret police, and corporations that are actively destroying america.

Pain is unavoidable in life and teaches valuable lessons. Loss and sacrifice are as integral to the human condition as they are to what defines america and the west. There cannot be one without the other. It is this way, must be this way, and always will be this way. This way and not some other way.

Obey the law. Remain peaceful. Harm no one. Violate no laws in your survival preps (avoid silencers, machine guns, explosives, unlicensed body armor, etc). Do not suggest illegal actions, or unlawful attacks. Do not collaborate or associate, at all, with those that would or do. Denounce anyone who does.

obey the law, remain peaceful and work ever, tirelessly, towards the collapse and dissolution of the united states junta.

Make it your lifes purpose, and mission, and never give in, never give up.

And know, that we can, and will win, someday.

[ - ] PhantomXLII 0 points 1.4 yearsDec 9, 2022 08:37:26 ago (+0/-0)

And there it is. The admission.

So, again, it is over and the best way out is suicide, but you can't do that.

All you're doing is sitting back and letting hostiles win then saying "ackselerashunism!" with your thumb up your ass. Well done.

Know this, ignorant one: It is over. There is no future.

[ - ] prototype [op] 1 point 1.4 yearsDec 9, 2022 11:32:14 ago (+1/-0)

"And there it is. The admission"

There is no admission. Look, I'm gonna be frank with you her. You're sort of starting to sound a bit like some sort of bitch. You're probably not but you are acting like a weak-willed faggot and projecting your faggot interpretations of what I've written onto what you want to see.

Basically no one is gonna tell you about their political activities, peaceful and lawful as they are, nor preps, peaceful and lawful as they are, because the government has in practice outlawed both.

If you're a real person, and not some ghoul "just doing my job!" sitting in an airconditioned trailer on a military base, then you need to seriously self-evaluate where you're going with your attitude, because its the attitude of a loser, someone who is already defeated and wants to lay down and die. Fuck that noise.

But if you're some fuck head like I said, in an air conditioned trailer, sowing division in america, monitoring ameircan citizens, labeling speech as terrorism, understand, you are the enemy.

Because "just doing my job" is not an excuse. And it never will be.

[ - ] PhantomXLII 0 points 1.4 yearsDec 9, 2022 14:14:10 ago (+0/-0)

You're trying to justify the end of the world through mental gymnastics and claim the event itself is good and then call me a bitch and a fed because I'm telling you very plainly what reality actually is. You hide behind accelerationism because you know it's over.

[ - ] prototype [op] 0 points 1.4 yearsDec 9, 2022 16:42:23 ago (+0/-0)*

The end of the u.s banking system and existing political order is hardly the end of the world.
The end of a sufficiently bad system is always a good thing. The only group of people who would characterize what I wrote as 'the end of the world' are those for whom it would be the end of their world.

It's fundementally dishonest. You're not simply telling anyone the reality, you're claiming to know things about people that you don't, or else you're asking questions you're in no way entitled an answer to.

"All you're doing is sitting there"

This is that. You're not gonna get an answer for this, and no one responsible, be they doing nothing, or be they politically and socially active, are going to justify your covert question with a response.

I hide behind nothing, and nothing is over till its over. Accelerationism is the mission of actively working towards making sure the existing order is over.

If its 'over' then its only over for you.

So who do you work for?

Because now I'm definitely certain you work for somebody.

You need to take a look in the mirror, a long look. The people you work for are the enemies of not just america, but every nation. The job you are doing is wrong, morally, and legally.
And I think these posts of yours say how you feel about it.

You know its wrong but you're doing it anyway. You don't have to admit it to me, but if you're being real, and honest, you do have to admit it to yourself.

God is watching. And if you think you're gonna escape God's judgement because you're just doing your job, thats not how it works.

Think about it.

You know I'm right.

What side of history do you want to be on?

[ - ] PhantomXLII 0 points 1.4 yearsDec 9, 2022 19:44:14 ago (+0/-0)

Still incorrectly accusing me of being a federal operative.

One hostile.

[ - ] prototype [op] 0 points 1.4 yearsDec 10, 2022 05:41:48 ago (+0/-0)

"One hostile."

I'm only hostile to the enemies of America.

If you don't like the hostility you should reevaluate which side you're on and why.

Money isn't worth your soul or loyalty.

[ - ] usedoilanalysis 1 point 1.4 yearsDec 8, 2022 18:14:54 ago (+1/-0)

I told you niggers to buy gold and silver while it was cheap. I got mine, you fags are getting left behind.

[ - ] prototype [op] 0 points 1.4 yearsDec 8, 2022 19:34:23 ago (+0/-0)

"buy gold and silver while it was cheap. "

There was a confiscation before, and it can happen again.