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1. Russia is actually losing the fight, as the u.s. claims
2. They are looking to draw the u.s. further into conflict.

3. Russia is preparing to commit to a major new push, or large scale attack


The reasoning for number one is why would they say this unless they were suing for peace? The claim itself weakens their position dramatically.

In the second case, Russia's worst frustrations in the war have all stemmed each time from u.s. and NATO intervention. They want less of this. The u.s. wants less direct involvement (because the u.s. can't win that fight and only makes a profit when the fighting is by proxy). Everything up till now has been saber rattling against BRICs, and attempting to keep germany from pivoting.

For the third option, winter is coming, and with the ground frozen russia can retreat (screwing washington's momentum) or move in for a fresh campaign. This syncs with washington's own fears as displayed by rumormongering. It also makes sense in light of the (gradual) build up to larger attacks against ukraine's powergrid. Thats something you would do to acclimatize the world to large scale attacks, ahead of a big push--something that would be necessary for a nation like Russia when it is already in a somewhat ambiguous diplomatic position relative to both its allies and enemies.
If thats true it makes sense russia is testing the S-500, or other large antimissile systems now. They're expecting the u.s. to resort to full-scale attack.

This suggests the u.s. is economically more vulnerable, esp dollar status, and thus more threatened, by BRICs recent trading in rubles and oil--than the u.s. is letting on.

Combine with Biden's obvious ties to the CCP, recent new lockdowns they've implemented, the rumoval of Hu Jintao, and recent naval and air incursions in the pacific we can draw some reasonable conclusions:

1. The pentagon is not on board with the CCP and Israel's control of the u.s. and u.s. intelligence community.
2. BRICs has successfully challenged the status of the dollar to the point that it is now officially an open question of "how long" rather than "whats the chance" that the dollar loses reserve status.
3. Washington knows this and now has to move internationally to resolve the situation, do or die.
4. Hence Russia preparing for bombardment of moscow.
5. Washington likewise has to prepare for more lockdowns to control the situation domestically if or when trade partners start reducing trade volume signficantly.

Service economies only run if you have goods to supply the service companies.

Oil reduction at this moment would therefore appear to be a forward signal of existing (internal) expectations of the u.s. government.

The u.s. government is expecting to fight a multifront war, including on its own soil. it is expecting signciant (24-25%) unemployment, and large scale unrest.

It will resort to the exact playbook as before. Large scale manufactured riots, that it uses to redirect, and control domestic unrest before it pops off--and a large scale 'outbreak'.