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I think he's too immature. Not inexperienced, immature. The JQ is somewhat moot here. Whoever they pick will support Israel because the president does. All the alcohol rumors ring very true to me. Even if he's not currently drinking (which I doubt) he has the veneer of a lifelong drunk.

He's also been an independent contributor for far too long to be able to manage a bureaucracy of this size, especially with no humility. And if he went, who would they replace him with?

I think he's got 3 months and is in an uncontrolled spiral regardless of what anyone thinks or hopes.